05/11: I Was Wrong
Category: American History and Politics
Posted by: an okie gardener
I owe Farmer a steak dinner in Ft. Worth.
I picked McCain to win, based on Obama's performance against Hillary in which the polls were higher than his actual results, the larger-than-usual number of refusals to pollsters that I assumed came more from McCain supporters than Obama supporters, the increased support and enthusiasm of evangelicals after the Palin pick, and my assumption that when in the voting booth the gut of many voters would prompt them not to vote for a candidate with ties to Rev. Wright, Bill Ayers, and corrupt organizations like ACORN. I was wrong
Obama won, and did so getting over 50% of the popular vote, something that Clinton did not achieve in two elections.
What enabled Obama to win? The definitive book on this election is a generation away, but I offer a few non-original thoughts in no particular order.
*The Economy, specifically the crash on Wall Street, the mortage mess, and fears for the future.
*Popular Dissatisfaction with the Bush Administration.
*Obama's Race and the chance it gave millions of voters to help put the first black man into the White House.
*The image Obama created on television--handsome, thoughtful, articulate.
*The desire of an increasingly large number of Americans that their government take care of their basic needs: health care, employment security, retirement, etc.
*The success of the Bush Administration in the War Against Islamic Terrorists.
*And, while we now may never know the extent, vote fraud in Democrat-controlled urban areas such as Philadelphia, Cleveland, and Milwaukee.
*The Work of the Established Media in protecting Obama from serious investigation and discussion.
*Obama's Tremendous Financial Advantage because he refused public financing, and ran a contribution system that invited fraud.
Farmer, I'll email you to set up time and place.
I picked McCain to win, based on Obama's performance against Hillary in which the polls were higher than his actual results, the larger-than-usual number of refusals to pollsters that I assumed came more from McCain supporters than Obama supporters, the increased support and enthusiasm of evangelicals after the Palin pick, and my assumption that when in the voting booth the gut of many voters would prompt them not to vote for a candidate with ties to Rev. Wright, Bill Ayers, and corrupt organizations like ACORN. I was wrong
Obama won, and did so getting over 50% of the popular vote, something that Clinton did not achieve in two elections.
What enabled Obama to win? The definitive book on this election is a generation away, but I offer a few non-original thoughts in no particular order.
*The Economy, specifically the crash on Wall Street, the mortage mess, and fears for the future.
*Popular Dissatisfaction with the Bush Administration.
*Obama's Race and the chance it gave millions of voters to help put the first black man into the White House.
*The image Obama created on television--handsome, thoughtful, articulate.
*The desire of an increasingly large number of Americans that their government take care of their basic needs: health care, employment security, retirement, etc.
*The success of the Bush Administration in the War Against Islamic Terrorists.
*And, while we now may never know the extent, vote fraud in Democrat-controlled urban areas such as Philadelphia, Cleveland, and Milwaukee.
*The Work of the Established Media in protecting Obama from serious investigation and discussion.
*Obama's Tremendous Financial Advantage because he refused public financing, and ran a contribution system that invited fraud.
Farmer, I'll email you to set up time and place.
