07/11: Exit Polls
Category: Politics
Posted by: A Waco Farmer
One of these days the exit polls are going to be accurate.
Is that day today? We will see.
Here are some of the exit numbers floating around:
Casey 61 - Santorum 38
Cardin 51 - Steele 48
McCaskill 53 - Talent 46
Webb 55 - Allen 45
For a moment, let's be optimistic and assume they are skewed in favor of the Democrats (as they have been in the past), which would mean:
If the Talent-McCaskill race is dead-even (50-49), let's adjust the rest of the races by three points:
Casey 58- Santorum 41
Cardin 48- Steele 51
Webb 52- Allen 48
That is a bit better. On the other hand, the VA race seems the bell-weather. If the GOP is going to lose VA--it is going to be a long night, most likely.
More importantly, let's see what the big turnout numbers mean.
Is that day today? We will see.
Here are some of the exit numbers floating around:
Casey 61 - Santorum 38
Cardin 51 - Steele 48
McCaskill 53 - Talent 46
Webb 55 - Allen 45
For a moment, let's be optimistic and assume they are skewed in favor of the Democrats (as they have been in the past), which would mean:
If the Talent-McCaskill race is dead-even (50-49), let's adjust the rest of the races by three points:
Casey 58- Santorum 41
Cardin 48- Steele 51
Webb 52- Allen 48
That is a bit better. On the other hand, the VA race seems the bell-weather. If the GOP is going to lose VA--it is going to be a long night, most likely.
More importantly, let's see what the big turnout numbers mean.
Tocqueville wrote:
"The GOP lost. Conservatism prevailed. "San Francisco values" may control the gavels in Congress, but they do not control America. Property rights initiatives limiting eminent domain won big. MCRI, the anti-racial preference measure, passed resoundingly. Congressman Tom Tancredo, the GOP's leading warrior against illegal immigration--opposed by both the open-borders Left and the open-borders White House--won a fifth term handily. Gay marriage bans won approval in 3 states. And as of this writing, the oil tax initiative, Prop. 87--backed by deep-pocketed Hollywood libs, is trailing badly in California."
Contrast this to the LA Times claiming that the GOP lost becasue it gave up the Center.